Lake District Mountain weather forecast table
Confidence
High for mainly dry and bright weather on Thursday becoming lower in the evening for the track of low pressure system moving northeast over England. Generally high for the weather setup from Friday onwards but some uncertainty in day-to-day cloud and rain detail.
Mountain weather hazards
Hazards apply at or above 300m, reflecting the more severe conditions which can occur at altitude.
Severe Chill Effect
Poor Visibility
Mountain weather forecast
Mainly dry with bright spells developing and winds easing. Feeling cold.
| Time | 06:00 | 09:00 | 12:00 | 15:00 | 18:00 | 21:00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Weather (at 800m) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chance of precipitation (at 800m) |
40% | 30% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Time | 06:00 | 09:00 | 12:00 | 15:00 | 18:00 | 21:00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 900m |
SW
31
|
SW
27
|
SW
20
|
S
14
|
SE
9
|
SE
7
|
| 600m |
SW
26
|
SW
23
|
SW
16
|
S
13
|
S
7
|
S
6
|
| 300m |
SW
9
|
SW
8
|
SW
6
|
S
5
|
S
4
|
S
3
|
| Valley |
SW
7
|
SW
5
|
SW
6
|
S
5
|
E
3
|
E
2
|
| Time | 06:00 | 09:00 | 12:00 | 15:00 | 18:00 | 21:00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 900m | 37 | 33 | 25 | 17 | 11 | 9 |
| 600m | 34 | 29 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 8 |
| 300m | 25 | 23 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 6 |
| Valley | 22 | 18 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 5 |
| Time | 06:00 | 09:00 | 12:00 | 15:00 | 18:00 | 21:00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 900m |
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
| 600m |
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
1°
|
1°
|
| 300m |
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
2°
|
1°
|
| Valley |
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
4°
|
3°
|
| Freezing Level |
900m
|
800m
|
800m
|
800m
|
700m
|
700m
|
| Time | 06:00 | 09:00 | 12:00 | 15:00 | 18:00 | 21:00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 900m |
-8°
|
-8°
|
-7°
|
-6°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
| 600m |
-4°
|
-5°
|
-4°
|
-3°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
| 300m |
1°
|
1°
|
2°
|
2°
|
1°
|
0°
|
| Valley |
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
4°
|
2°
|
2°
|
Additional weather information
Meteorologist's view
A fairly mild day in the valleys, especially in any sunshine, but colder with a significant wind chill on the tops.
Weather
A cloudy start to the day with a few showers, falling as snow above 600m. These will die out through the morning with lengthening sunny spells developing. A dry evening is likely with patchy fog and frost developing but there is a very small chance of some rain and summit snow for a time.
Chance of cloud-free hill tops
20% becoming 70% through the morning, best chance in northeast.
Low cloud and visibility
Extensive cloud above 300m in the early hours, lifting to leave some areas of cloud above 500m in the morning, then lifting onto the high summits by afternoon. Patchy fog developing in the valleys in the evening with a small chance of more widespread low cloud for a time.
Ground conditions
Date: Wednesday 14 January. Location: Helvellyn summit at 11:45. Temperature: minus 1.4C. Maximum wind speed 41.7mph. Wind chill: minus 12.7C. Average wind speed: 38.4mph. Full report: Full winter conditions. With temperatures around 4°C in Glenridding, cold conditions on the summit of Helvellyn were always expected, given the normal lapse rate (temperature decreasing with height). The relatively benign conditions at lower levels gave little indication of what awaited on the high fells. On the approach to Red Tarn, it became clear that snow had largely survived the recent thaw and wet weather, with light new snow falling above 700m. Evidence on the paths suggested the freezing level had dropped overnight to at least 600m, with old snow patches interspersed with water ice. At this point, microspikes were being considered to aid progress. However, crampons proved the more appropriate choice, as a direct ascent from Red Tarn up the east-facing headwall of Helvellyn, through the snow bowl, could be made entirely on firm, frozen old snow. Significant amounts of cornice-collapse debris and avalanche runout were visible on this slope, most likely triggered by Sunday's rainfall. This debris was now being covered by fresh, windblown snow, transported from the summit plateau on a south-westerly wind and deposited onto the east-facing slopes. Snow depth increased noticeably over the final 100 metres to the summit, though at the time showed little chance for further avalanching. A shallow-angle cornice at the top was easily negotiated. Forecast new snowfall overnight is likely to increase both snow depth and the likelihood of further snow movement. The summit plateau itself was largely scoured of snow, and paths on the Thirlmere side are likely to be similar, aside from some drifting along path edges. Striding Edge and Swirral Edge are now in full winter condition, with at least microspikes or crampons being used by winter adventurers for security. Footsteps were already in-filling on the ramp near the top of Swirral Edge, requiring care. An ice axe proved useful for balance, particularly when exiting onto the plateau in a 40 mph south-westerly wind. As winds back more southerly through Wednesday and overnight new snow will continue to be redistributed around the mountain. With similar conditions expected on Thursday, eye protection (goggles or workforce glasses) is strongly recommended, as spindrift and blowing snow are likely. Edges and steep drops were difficult to identify at times. Plan for full winter conditions, carry additional clothing, and take basic safety equipment, including first aid and an emergency shelter. A clear navigation plan is essential, with attention for changes in direction and visibility.
Mountain weather information
Weather
Clear spells and patchy fog and frost in the early hours. Cloud and outbreaks of rain, with snow above 700m, will spread northeast by morning. Becoming drier and brighter in the afternoon with perhaps a few showers in the west, wintry above 700m.
Chance of cloud-free hill tops
20% in the morning becoming 60% in afternoon.
Maximum wind speed expected
South or Southwest 20-25mph gusts 35mph.
Temperature
- At 800m Minus 1C rising to Plus 1C.
- Valley 0C rising to 6C.
- Freezing level 700m rising to 900m.
Low cloud and visibility
Visibility often poor in the morning with extensive cloud above 400m. Becoming mainly good in the afternoon as cloud lifts but most summits above 800m will remain shrouded in cloud.
Mountain weather information
Sat 17 Jan
A lot of low cloud with best of any brightness in the north. A few showers possible, wintry on the tops. Light southeast winds. Freezing level 900m.
Sun 18 Jan
Areas of low cloud in the morning with a few showers around, wintry on the tops. Becoming dry and bright in the afternoon. Light southerly winds becoming strong later. Freezing level 900m.
Mon 19 Jan
A band of rain and summit snow is likely to move east followed by showers. Strong winds are likely for a time.
Summit specific forecast
Mountain summit forecast map
The Lake District covers an area of 885 square miles with its highest point, Scafell Pike, standing at 978 metres.