Eastriggs (Dumfries and Galloway) weather

Headline:

Cloudy, cold, showers east, wintry on hills. Dry in west.

Today:

A cloudy day in the east with some showers, these wintry over the hills. Staying dry in the southwest. Occasionally strong and gusty easterly winds. Feeling colder than Monday. Maximum temperature 5 °C.

Tonight:

Cloudy evening in the east with outbreaks of rain and hill snow, staying dry in the southwest. Cloud and outbreaks of rain and hill snow spread to all parts overnight. Minimum temperature 0 °C.

Wednesday:

Cloudy with rain and hill snow in the morning. This clears north through the afternoon allowing most areas to remain dry. Showers into the east again through the evening. Maximum temperature 6 °C.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Cold and windy with showers in the east, wintry at times especially on hills. The Southwest will stay drier with the best of any brightness. Windy at times.

Frontal systems over the Atlantic, steered by a south-shifted jet stream, are likely to approach the UK at times, but tending to stall as they encounter a blocking area of high pressure to the north and northeast. This will result in further spells of rain at times, falling in areas already sensitive to flooding. As these bands of rain spread northwards, some snow will be possible in northern England and Scotland, mainly over higher ground, as they encounter colder air. A subtle shift southwards of these areas of low pressure is anticipated during the second week of February, which may allow a greater chance of colder air to spread across larger parts of the UK at times, including the south, bringing an increased risk of wintry hazards.

Whilst confidence is inevitably low through this period, a south-shifted jet stream is likely to persist for much of the time, steering areas of low pressure towards and south of the UK. This is likely to bring further spells of wet and windy weather, with rain most frequent in the south and west, and perhaps also eastern Scotland, with the driest conditions, relative to normal, in northwest Scotland. Some hill snow will be possible at times as the wet weather encounters colder air across northern parts of the UK. There is a hint that storm systems may start to track a little further north by March though. Temperatures overall will likely be close to average for most parts, but perhaps a little below in the northeast at first.