Brough (Cumbria) weather

Headline:

Largely dry but cloudy for New Year's celebrations.

Today:

A frosty start to New Year's Eve with fog locally lingering until late morning. Elsewhere, plenty of sunshine to begin, though cloud gradually building during the day. Remaining dry but feeling cold. Maximum temperature 6 °C.

Tonight:

Largely cloudy this evening. Outbreaks of rain arriving across Cumbria towards midnight and then moving southwards overnight. Increasingly blustery, limiting frost to upland areas. Minimum temperature 2 °C.

Thursday:

Showery rain clearing to begin New Year's Day with brighter spells following. Variable cloud in the afternoon with a few showers around Merseyside and Cheshire. Chilly in the gusty wind. Maximum temperature 6 °C.

Outlook for Friday to Sunday:

Prolonged periods of sunshine on Friday and throughout the weekend. Mostly dry, though scattered wintry showers possible in the south. Breezy and turning colder with severe frosts and ice overnight.

Cold northerly winds dominant across the UK in the first week of January. These will bring wintry showers (often of snow) to many coastlines (and areas just inland of these) that are exposed to onshore winds. Day-to-day changes in wind direction will change the places most exposed to the showers, but many inland locations across central and southern areas will remain mostly dry but cold - some more coherent bands of rain, sleet and snow working south at times. Into the second week of January slightly milder conditions will attempt to move in from the west, with a risk of further snow on the leading edge of these turning to rain. Colder regime more likely to the north with average to just below average in the south.

Whilst confidence in details is low, by the start of this period the transition back to westerly winds bringing Atlantic weather systems into the UK is expected to be complete, with temperatures most likely recovering to around or just below average. There is perhaps a weak signal for slowly evolving weather patterns to be more favoured than normal, such patterns increase the chances of frost and fog above normal by night.