Coleshill (Warwickshire) weather

Headline:

Rain and showers continuing to start February.

Today:

Generally dry but rather cloudy to start with mist and patchy hill fog gradually lifting. Turning wetter into the afternoon as rain spreads across the region. Maximum temperature 8 °C.

Tonight:

Remaining wet this evening with rain turning locally heavy and persistent at times before clearing eastwards overnight. Largely cloudy with further hill fog, but this reducing the chance of frost. Minimum temperature 3 °C.

Monday:

A dull and murky start to the week with plenty of cloud and only limited bright spells. Occasional showers and drizzly outbreaks possible. Breezier than Sunday. Maximum temperature 7 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Low pressure remains in charge for the first week of February. Further spells of rain and showers likely, which could lead to some isolated flooding in places.

Frontal systems over the Atlantic, steered by a south-shifted jet stream, are likely to approach the UK at times, but tending to stall as they encounter a blocking area of high pressure to the north and northeast. This will result in further spells of rain at times, falling in areas already sensitive to flooding. As these bands of rain spread northwards, some snow will be possible on high ground in northern England and Scotland as they encounter colder air. A subtle shift southwards of these areas of low pressure is anticipated during the second week of February, which may allow a greater chance of colder air to spread across northern UK at least, bringing an increased risk of wintry hazards for a time.

Whilst confidence is lower through this period, a south-shifted jet stream is likely to persist much of the time, steering areas of low pressure towards and south of the UK. This is likely to bring further spells of wet and windy weather, rain most frequent in the south and west, and perhaps also eastern Scotland, with the driest conditions, relative to normal, in northwest Scotland. Some hill snow will be possible at times as the wet weather encounters colder air across northern parts of the UK. Temperatures for the period as a whole will likely be close to average in the southwest, but a little below in the northeast.