Merrick (Dumfries and Galloway) weather

Headline:

Cloudy Saturday. Light rain in east, brighter near west coast.

This Evening and Tonight:

It will be cloudy, with a little rain at times in the Lothians and Borders. Drier in the southwest with some clearer spells over Galloway. Minimum temperature 3 °C.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy. A little patchy rain, but plenty of dry weather in the southwest. A few brighter intervals nearer the west coast, Slightly milder, lighter winds. Maximum temperature 7 °C.

Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:

Cloudy with occasional rain on Sunday, lighter winds. Occasional rain on Monday turning to snow on higher ground later, windy. Tuesday cold, windy.

Frontal systems over the North Atlantic, steered by a south-shifted jet stream, are likely to approach the UK at times, but tending to stall as they encounter a blocking area of high pressure to the north and northeast. This will result in further spells of rain at times, falling in areas already sensitive to flooding. As these bands of rain spread northwards, some snow will be possible on high ground in northern England and Scotland as they encounter colder air. A subtle shift southwards of these areas of low pressure is anticipated during the second week of February, which may allow a greater chance of colder air to spread across northern UK at least, bringing an increased risk of wintry hazards for a time.

Whilst confidence is lower through this period, a south-shifted jet stream is likely to persist much of the time, steering areas of low pressure towards and south of the UK. This is likely to bring further spells of wet and windy weather, rain most frequent in the south and west, and perhaps also eastern Scotland, with the driest conditions, relative to normal, in northwest Scotland. Some hill snow will be possible at times as the wet weather encounters colder air across northern parts of the UK. Temperatures for the period as a whole will likely be close to average in the southwest, but a little below in the northeast.